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Monday, March 23, 2015

Will e-Commerce giants tame the Traditional Retailers?

Internet has become an integral part of the Indian consumers which serves as an impetus to the growing e-Commerce market in India. Factors from low broadband subscription rates, favourable demographics to convenience of online shopping drive this sector to make inroads into the Indian domestic market and compete with the traditional retailers.
According to a PwC report, online giants Flipkart and Snapdeal, despite enjoying billion dollar valuations, are no match to the traditional retailers who would continue with their dominance in the domestic market. The online stores, by 2020 would account for only 3% of total retail market. Let’s look at some intriguing points:
§  In 2014, online retail was 0.4% of total retail market share which is hardly accountable as compared to China where the online share is around 7-10%
§  Cash on Delivery (CoD) services is a preferred mode of payment in India unlike the developed countries and imposes a substantial financial cost onto the online retailers. Also, the cost of acquiring a customer rises due to competition from other online companies with more funds
§  The other hurdle being Logistics; goods in India are generally shipped through cheap third party carriers. To deliver orders outside major cities, companies often need to rely on individual/local couriers who tend to be unreliable at times and if the company thinks to develop their own logistics arm, the problem of massive capital expenses adds to the already increasing costs
§  While entrepreneurs and financial investors alike are excited by the growth in this sector; companies will need to address issues around legal exposure in agreements or arrangements, inefficient anti-corruption framework, imbalance between FDI norms vis-a-vis adequate entity controls, etc.
§  According to RNCOS, a research and consultancy firm, the online retail market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 40-45% during 2014-18. According to Google, by 2020, the Indian e-commerce industry is expected to reach US$ 30-40 billion, from US$ 3-4 billion at present. Also the retail market in India would reach US$ 1 trillion by 2020
§  Some of the challenges the e-Commerce industry faces are as follows:
o   Absence of e-Commerce laws
o   Low entry barriers
o   Customer Loyalty
§  On the other hand, traditional retailers enjoy penetration within every corner of India largely due to the unorganised retail sector (local general stores, convenience stores, etc) which contributes to around 90-92% of the total retail market; the organised retail sector (supermarkets, hypermarkets etc) contributes the remaining 8-10%
§  With the increasing use of internet and the expanding Indian middle class with smartphones, e-Commerce companies are targeting mobile users with their online shopping mobile applications
Understanding the plethora of points suggested above, the e-Commerce industry in India is in its nascent stage. It remains to see how the obstacles are overcome. Can the players in the industry sustain the sky-rocket valuation they currently enjoy to tame the traditional retailers or is it just another bubble waiting to burst??

-Pratik Naik
SIMSREE Finance Forum

2 comments:

Very true! The internet is playing an integral role for people. They love to shop online. My uncle Dr. Aloke Ghosh says that we shouldn’t completely depend on the internet as it is affecting the life of traditional retailers.

Yes you can say that, but the online retailers offer huge discounts and the convenience of shopping on the go which is something people want these days. Also the massive amount of funding is another reason which is helping their cause.

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